Training-Free Uncertainty Estimation for Dense Regression: Sensitivity as a Surrogate

Lu Mi, Hao Wang, Yonglong Tian, Nir Shavit

Keywords: training-free, uncertainty estimation, dense regression, super resolution, depth estimation, deep learning

Abstract: Uncertainty estimation is an essential step in the evaluation of the robustness for deep learning models in computer vision, especially when applied in risk-sensitive areas. However, most state-of-the-art deep learning models either fail to obtain uncertainty estimation or need significant modification (e.g., formulating a proper Bayesian treatment) to obtain it. Most previous methods are not able to take an arbitrary model off the shelf and generate uncertainty estimation without retraining or redesigning it. To address this gap, we perform a systematic exploration into training-free uncertainty estimation for dense regression, an unrecognized yet important problem, and provide a theoretical construction justifying such estimations. We propose three simple and scalable methods to analyze the variance of outputs from a trained network under tolerable perturbations: infer-transformation, infer-noise, and infer-dropout. They operate solely during inference, without the need to re-train, re-design, or fine-tune the model, as typically required by state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation methods. Surprisingly, even without involving such perturbations in training, our methods produce comparable or even better uncertainty estimation when compared to training-required state-of-the-art methods.

One-sentence Summary: A set of simple and scalable methods to obtain uncertainty estimations from a trained network using sensitivity as a surrogate measure.

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