Conformal prediction for hypersonic flight vehicle classification

Published: 01 Jan 2022, Last Modified: 04 Nov 2025COPA 2022EveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY-SA 4.0
Abstract: This paper introduces a probabilistic guaranteed prediction method for trajectory data of the hypersonic flight vehicle classification problem. This paper devoted two problems: (1) hypersonic flight vehicle trajectory classification algorithm using functional data analysis method, and (2) a distributions-free uncertainty quantity for the classification results applying conformal prediction methodology. Our approach provides explicit finite-sample guarantees for any data set by using functional data analysis methods, which map the original data into feature space. The distribution-free uncertainty quantity results for the label of new objects include two indications, such as confidence and credibility respectively. Lastly, the proposed method aims to communicate instance-wise uncertainty under the probabilistic guaranteed and generate a prediction set at a user-specified confidence level for the hypersonic flight vehicle classification problem.
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