A post-contingency power flow emulator for generalized probabilistic risks assessment of power grids

Published: 01 Jan 2020, Last Modified: 25 Apr 2025Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 2020EveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY-SA 4.0
Abstract: Highlights•A risk assessment emulator for power grids overload risk assessment is proposed.•The emulator is embedded within a generalized uncertainty quantification framework.•Line-Outage Distribution Factors efficiently approximate post-contingency severity evaluations.•Archiving 2 orders of magnitudes time-cost reduction with a modest accuracy loss.•Sensitivity analysis via pinching revealed the key inputs driving the imprecision in the risk score.
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