Proactive Contingency-Aware Task Allocation and Scheduling in Multi-Robot Multi-Human Cells via Hindsight Optimization

Published: 2025, Last Modified: 29 Dec 2025IEEE Trans Autom. Sci. Eng. 2025EveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY-SA 4.0
Abstract: Multi-robot systems are becoming more common in various real-world applications, such as manufacturing and warehouse logistics. However, task allocation and scheduling for a multi-agent team face complex challenges due to the need to simultaneously consider time-extended tasks, task constraints, and uncertainties in execution. Potential task failures or contingencies can add additional tasks to recover from the failures, and reactively addressing contingencies can decrease teaming efficiency. To efficiently and proactively consider contingencies, this paper proposes treating the problem as a multi-robot task allocation under uncertainty problem. We suggest a hierarchical approach that divides the problem into two layers. We use mathematical program formulation for the lower layer to find the optimal solution for a deterministic multi-robot task allocation problem with known task outcomes. The higher-layer search intelligently generates more likely combinations of contingency scenarios and calls the inner-level search repeatedly to find the optimal task allocation sequence for the given scenario. We validate our results in simulation for manufacturing applications and demonstrate that our method can reduce the effect of potential delays from contingencies.Note to Practitioners—Automation engineers interested in deploying robotic cells in low-volume applications need to consider contingency handling. When the occurrence of contingencies can be characterized as probability distributions, it is often useful to consider using a proactive approach for task allocation and scheduling. To implement our algorithm, automation engineers will need to develop a hierarchical task network specified by domain experts that models task constraints and a task-agent duration model, which may be generated from simulation environments. Furthermore, they must identify tasks that can result in contingencies and describe them with a probabilistic model. This model can be generated from historical data and/or real-world experiments. Lastly, for addressing the contingency, the practitioner will need to specify a task procedure to recover from a specific contingency type. To run the algorithm, we found that repeatedly approximating the best proactive task allocation for a fixed computation budget and dispatching the best tasks worked well. The computation budget required to approximate the best task allocation is directly affected by the number of contingency scenarios that can be sampled. Therefore, the practitioner must determine a suitable computational budget empirically based on the number of contingencies that can occur.
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