Short-Term Building Load Forecast Based on Patch Learning with Long Short-Term Memory Network and Support Vector Regression

Zhaohui Dan, Bo Wang, Huijin Fan, Lei Liu

Abstract: This paper proposes a novel short-term building load forecasting approach under the framework of patch learning, a novel data-driven model that aggregates a global model and several patch models to further reduce forecasting errors. A PL-LSTM-SVR model is hereby employed to address such a time-series based forecasting problem, where the long short-term memory network is considered as the global model and the support vector regression is selected as the patch model. To obtain satisfying performances, an infinity norm measurement is selected to evaluate load forecasting errors and identify patch locations. Furthermore, a genetic algorithm with elitist preservation strategy is introduced for hyperparameter tuning. The performances of the proposed PL-LSTM-SVR model are tested and verified on two different data sets, and compared with four advanced building load forecasting models on several common metrics.