The Strategy of Eradicating Ebola

Yidi Xu

Abstract:

This paper constructs three models to predict the medicine needed in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia, and creates an optimal transport strategy of eradicating Ebola. GM model is the basic prediction model. By applying the reproductive rate model (Re Model), this paper predicts the vaccines needed with different goal reproductive rate. The medicine transport plan is based on the minimum spanning tree algorithm (MST) combining airports and urgent epidemic areas factors. The weight of other three important factors is determined by AHP model.

Keywords-Ebola control; Medicine prediction; GM; Re Model; MST;AHP