Network Traffic Co-Movement Assessment via Oriented Basis Signal Processing and Ensemble Decision Trees

Mohammad Reza Mohebbi, Mohammad Javad Hassan Zada, Majid Rostami-Shahrbabaki, Mario Döller, Iuliia Yamnenko

Abstract: Accurate short-term network-wide traffic prediction is essential to guarantee high service quality in urban traffic control systems. Nevertheless, traffic state time series represent network-scale spatiotemporal co-movement patterns and location-specific features. Therefore, hybrid statistical machine learning (ml) algorithms could be utilized to accommodate the aforementioned characteristics. In this paper, a hybrid random forest (rf) and extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost) model is introduced for network-wide traffic prediction. Moreover, a multi-noise oriented basis wavelet transform (OBT) filter is employed to pre-process the original time series, and improve the predictive accuracy. The RF model captures the traffic co-movements and the XGBoost extracts the local information. Comparative analysis of the hybrid algorithm and deep learning-based benchmarks indicate better performance of the proposed methodology in hourly traffic state prediction of 30 loop detectors, located in the paris city center. Hence, the hybrid decision-tree-based mechanism is a useful framework for real-time network traffic forecasting offering fewer trainable (hyper-)parameters, and thus, lower computational cost.

External IDs:dblp:conf/itsc/MohebbiZRDY24