LLM-based Stock Market Trend Prediction

24 Sept 2023 (modified: 11 Feb 2024)Submitted to ICLR 2024EveryoneRevisionsBibTeX
Primary Area: general machine learning (i.e., none of the above)
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Keywords: Stock Market Trend Prediction, Moving Averages, Options Volume, Market Volatility, LLM, LSTM Sentiment Analysis, Demand & Supply Dependency tree, Multi Layer Neural Networks
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TL;DR: This paper explores how different factors - moving_averages, news_sentiment, options_volume, LLMs priority index could affect trends in stock market.
Abstract: LLM-based Stock Market Trend Prediction Investor sentiment, which is driven by 'intriguing factors' such as news articles and options volume, has been historically resistant to effective use in quantitative methods for predictive market analysis. The emerging science of large language models (LLMs), however, offers a potential solution to this problem. In this paper, we describe our initial experiments with a novel system which prompts available LLMs in a way which allows us to link responses with features in the otherwise more traditional quantitative methods. The results show high accuracy in predicting market moves. We describe the experiments and our initial thoughts about next steps in the paper.
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Submission Number: 8637
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