Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization (MFBO) has emerged as a powerful approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions by leveraging evaluations at different fidelity levels. However, existing MFBO methods often overlook the convergence behavior of the objective function as fidelity increases, leading to inefficient exploration and suboptimal performance. We propose CAMO, a novel Convergence-Aware Multi-fidelity Optimization framework based on Fidelity Differential Equations (FiDEs). CAMO explicitly captures the convergence behavior of the objective function, enabling more efficient optimization. We introduce two tractable forms of CAMO: an integral Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) kernel and a data-driven Deep Kernel. Theoretical analysis demonstrates that CAMO with the integral ARD kernel achieves a tighter regret bound compared to state-of-the-art methods. Our empirical evaluation on synthetic benchmarks and real-world engineering design problems shows that CAMO consistently outperforms existing MFBO algorithms in optimization efficiency and solution quality, with up to 4x improvement in optimal solution. This work establishes a foundation for tractable convergence-aware MFBO and opens up new avenues for research in this area.
Keywords: Bayesian Optimization, Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization, Gaussian process, dynamic systems
TL;DR: This work brings SOTA multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization to the next level by proposing a new framework to design fidelity models that respect convergence behavior wrt fidelity.
Abstract:
Primary Area: probabilistic methods (Bayesian methods, variational inference, sampling, UQ, etc.)
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Submission Number: 8025
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