PowerPM: Foundation Model for Power Systems

Shihao Tu, Yupeng Zhang, Jing Zhang, Zhendong Fu, Yin Zhang, Yang Yang

Keywords: time series pre-training, power systems, foundation model

TL;DR: PowerPM is a foundation model for power systems.

Abstract:

The proliferation of abundant electricity time series (ETS) data presents numerous opportunities for various applications within power systems, including demand-side management, grid stability, and consumer behavior analysis. Deep learning models have advanced ETS modeling by effectively capturing sequence dependence. However, learning a generic representation of ETS data for various applications is challenging due to the inherently complex hierarchical structure of ETS data. Moreover, ETS data exhibits intricate temporal dependencies and is susceptible to the influence of exogenous variables. Furthermore, different instances exhibit diverse electricity consumption behavior. In this paper, we propose a foundation model PowerPM for ETS data, providing a large-scale, off-the-shelf model for power systems. PowerPM consists of a temporal encoder and a hierarchical encoder. The temporal encoder captures temporal dependencies within ETS data, taking into account exogenous variables. The hierarchical encoder models correlations between different levels of hierarchy. Furthermore, PowerPM leverages a novel self-supervised pre-training framework consisting of masked ETS modeling and dual-view contrastive learning. This framework enables PowerPM to capture temporal dependency within ETS windows and aware the discrepancy across ETS windows, providing two different perspectives to learn generic representation. Our experiments span five real-world scenario datasets, including both private and public data. Through pre-training on massive ETS data, PowerPM achieves SOTA
performance on diverse downstream tasks within the private dataset. Notably, when transferred to public datasets, PowerPM retains its edge, showcasing its remarkable generalization ability across various tasks and domains. Moreover, ablation studies and few-shot experiments further substantiate the effectiveness of our model.

Primary Area: Machine learning for other sciences and fields

Flagged For Ethics Review: true

Submission Number: 8942