In-Context Radio Map Estimation via Ripple Autoregressive Modeling

Published: 24 Sept 2025, Last Modified: 18 Nov 2025AI4NextG @ NeurIPS 25 PosterEveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY 4.0
Keywords: Radio Map Estimation, In-Context Learning, Visual Autoregressive Modeling
TL;DR: We formulate radio map estimation as an ICL problem and propose Ripple, a novel framework that captures the causal structure of signal propagation outward from the transmitter via ripple autoregressive modeling.
Abstract: Accurate radio map estimation is critical for wireless applications such as coverage planning, localization, and network deployment. However, most existing methods follow a supervised learning mindset, designing various U-Net-based model architectures or loss functions that rely on costly labeled data and delicate model training. Inspired by the remarkable generalization ability of large language models, we are the first to formulate radio map estimation as an in-context learning (ICL) problem, leveraging a pretrained large autoregressive vision model (LAVM) to predict the radio map for a new transmitter (Tx) position, prompted by a few input-output demonstrations *without requiring model updates*. We propose *Ripple*, a novel ICL framework that integrates visual tokenization with a ripple autoregressive modeling strategy to explicitly capture the causal structure of wireless signal propagation from the Tx outward. Furthermore, we introduce a two-stage generation strategy for coarse-to-fine prediction to better model non-line-of-sight (NLoS) propagation effects. Extensive experiments demonstrate that *Ripple* outperforms ICL baselines, highlighting its effectiveness and generalizability in radio map estimation.
Submission Number: 9
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