S-MGHSTN: Towards An Effective Streaming Traffic Accident Risk Prediction Framework

Minxiao Chen, Haitao Yuan, Nan Jiang, Zhihan Zheng, Zhifeng Bao, Ao Zhou, Jiaxin Jiang, Shangguang Wang

Abstract: Traffic accidents pose a significant risk to human health and property safety. To address this issue, predicting their risks has garnered growing interest. We argue that a desired prediction solution should demonstrate resilience to the complexity of traffic accidents. In particular, it should adequately consider the streaming nature of data and key related aspects, such as regional background, accurately capture both proximity and similarity while bridging the disparities, and effectively address the sparsity. However, these factors are often overlooked or difficult to incorporate. In this paper, we propose a novel streaming multi-granularity hierarchical spatio-temporal network. Initially, we innovate by incorporating remote sensing data, facilitating the creation of hierarchical multi-granularity structure and the comprehension of regional background. We construct multiple high-level risk prediction tasks to enhance model’s ability to cope with sparsity. Subsequently, to capture and bridge spatial proximity and semantic similarity, region features and multi-view graph undergo encoding processes to distill effective representations, followed by a graph-enhanced representation alignment module that reconciles their disparities. At last, an alternating experience replay with a dual-memory buffer is employed to accommodate streaming data scenarios. Extensive experiments on two real datasets verify the superiority of our model against the state-of-the-art methods.

External IDs:dblp:journals/tkde/ChenYJZBZJW25