Control of Dynamical Systems with Multiplicative Observation Noise with Unknown Distribution Parameters

Published: 17 Sept 2025, Last Modified: 28 Jan 2026Allerton Conference on Communication, Control, and ComputingEveryoneCC BY 4.0
Abstract: In this work, we consider the problem of stabiliz- ing a linear dynamical system with multiplicative observation noise (MON), where the precise distribution generating the MON is unknown. We propose a control algorithm that first uses system identification to estimate the necessary parameters for the optimal policy and then applies the resulting control policy using those parameter estimates. We provide theoretical guarantees for our algorithm which show that (1) our estimation scheme requires O(log(1/δ)2/ε2) samples to obtain estimates with ε accuracy and high probability 1 − 3δ, (2) the resulting controller guarantees second-moment stability conditioned on a good estimation event. This controller has a bounded gap to the performance of the optimal linear memoryless controller that knows the distribution of the noise a-priori.
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