Probabilistic prediction of arrivals and hospitalizations in emergency departments in Île-de-France

Herbert Susmann, Antoine Chambaz, Julie Josse, Philippe Aegerter, Mathias Wargon, Emmanuel Bacry

Abstract: Highlights•Time-series prediction for emergency departments (EDs) can help improve care quality.•Combining multiple prediction algorithms yields good results for ED prediction tasks.•Conformal inference accurately characterizes uncertainty in ED predictions.