Innovation diffusion dynamics toward long-term behavioral shifts

Published: 2025, Last Modified: 14 Nov 2025CoRR 2025EveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY-SA 4.0
Abstract: Sustainable technologies and services can play a pivotal role in the transition to "greener" habits. Their widespread adoption is thus crucial, and understanding how to foster this phenomenon in a systematic way could have a major impact on our future. With this in mind, in this work we propose an extension of the Friedkin-Johnsen opinion dynamics model toward characterizing the long-term impact of (structural) fostering policies. We then propose alternative nudging strategies that target a trade-off between widespread adoption and investments under budget constraints, showing the impact of our modeling and design choices on inclination shifts over a set of numerical tests.
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