Abstract: We study the problem of algorithmically optimizing the Hamiltonian $H_N$ of a spherical or Ising mixed $p$-spin glass.
The maximum asymptotic value $OPT$ of $H_N/N$ is characterized by a variational principle known as the Parisi formula, proved first by Talagrand and in more generality by Panchenko.
Recently developed approximate message passing algorithms efficiently optimize $H_N/N$ up to a value $ALG$ given by an extended Parisi formula, which minimizes over a larger space of functional order parameters.
These two objectives are equal for spin glasses exhibiting a \emph{no overlap gap} property.
However, $ALG < OPT$ can also occur, and no efficient algorithm producing an objective value exceeding $ALG$ is known.
We prove that for mixed even $p$-spin models, no algorithm satisfying an \emph{overlap concentration} property can produce an objective larger than $ALG$ with non-negligible probability.
This property holds for all algorithms with suitably Lipschitz dependence on the disorder coefficients of $H_N$. It encompasses natural formulations of gradient descent, approximate message passing, and Langevin dynamics run for bounded time and in particular includes the algorithms achieving $ALG$ mentioned above.
To prove this result, we substantially generalize the overlap gap property framework introduced by Gamarnik and Sudan to arbitrary ultrametric forbidden structures of solutions.
Loading