Predicting ICU Length of Stay for Patients using Latent Categorization of Health Conditions

Tirthankar Dasgupta, Manjira Sinha, Sudeshna Jana

Abstract: Predicting the duration of a patient’s stay in an Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a critical challenge for healthcare administrators, as it impacts resource allocation, staffing, and patient care strategies. Traditional approaches often rely on structured clinical data, but recent developments in language models offer significant potential to utilize unstructured text data such as nursing notes, discharge summaries, and clinical reports for ICU length-of-stay (LoS) predictions. In this study, we introduce a method for analyzing nursing notes to predict the remaining ICU stay duration of patients. Our approach leverages a joint model of latent note categorization, which identifies key health-related patterns and disease severity factors from unstructured text data. This latent categorization enables the model to derive high-level insights that influence patient care planning. We evaluate our model on the widely used MIMIC-III dataset, and our preliminary findings show that it significantly outperforms existing baselines, suggesting promising industrial applications for resource optimization and operational efficiency in healthcare settings.