Towards Adaptive Time Series Foundation Models Against Distribution Shift

27 Sept 2024 (modified: 22 Nov 2024)ICLR 2025 Conference Withdrawn SubmissionEveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY 4.0
Keywords: Time series, Pretraining, Distribution Shifts, Foundation Model
Abstract: Foundation models have demonstrated remarkable success across diverse machine-learning domains through large-scale pretraining. However, their application to time series data poses challenges due to substantial mismatches in the distributions of pretraining datasets. In this paper, we tackle this issue by proposing a domain-aware adaptive normalization strategy within the Transformer architecture. Specifically, we replace the traditional LayerNorm with a prototype-guided dynamic normalization mechanism, where learned prototypes represent distinct data distributions, and sample-to-prototype similarity determines the appropriate normalization layer. This approach effectively captures the diverse characteristics of time series data, ensuring better alignment between pretrained representations and downstream tasks. Our method significantly improves fine-tuning performance, outperforming vanilla pretraining techniques and reducing the negative impact of distribution shifts. Extensive experiments on various real-world time series datasets demonstrate the efficacy of our approach, paving the way for more robust and generalizable time series foundation models.
Primary Area: learning on time series and dynamical systems
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Submission Number: 10509
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