Learning an Inventory Control Policy with General Inventory Arrival Dynamics

21 Sept 2023 (modified: 11 Feb 2024)Submitted to ICLR 2024EveryoneRevisionsBibTeX
Primary Area: reinforcement learning
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Keywords: reinforcement learning, inventory control
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TL;DR: We apply deep reinforcement learning (RL) to solve the periodic review inventory control problem with general arrival dynamics learned from historical data and derive a learnability results for our problem formulation.
Abstract: We apply deep reinforcement learning (RL) to solve the periodic review inventory control problem with general arrival dynamics. In this work, we incorporate a learned model of transition dynamics (inventory arrivals) into the inventory control problem formulation, increasing the fidelity of the resulting simulator. Leveraging recent results (Madeka et al., 2022), we demonstrate a reduction of the complexity of the inventory control problem we consider to that of supervised learning, proving that under mild assumptions our backtest of inventory control policies is accurate. We also propose several metrics by which to evaluate the inventory arrivals model, and demonstrate the impact of an improved arrivals model on policy performance via a comparison of policies learned on our simulator with one learned on a simulator with less accurate arrivals dynamics. Finally, we use data from a real world A/B test of an RL agent trained using our simulator with learned dynamics to evaluate the performance of the arrivals model, showing that empirically it generalizes well to the off-policy state distribution induced by the RL agent in an actual supply chain.
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Submission Number: 4246
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