Tübingen-Oslo system: Linear regression works the best at Predicting Current and Future Psychological Health from Childhood Essays in the CLPsych 2018 Shared Task.

Çagri Çöltekin, Taraka Rama

Abstract: This paper describes our efforts in predicting current and future psychological health from childhood essays within the scope of the CLPsych-2018 Shared Task. We experimented with a number of different models, including recurrent and convolutional networks, Poisson regression, support vector regression, and L1 and L2 regularized linear regression. We obtained the best results on the training/development data with L2 regularized linear regression (ridge regression) which also got the best scores on main metrics in the official testing for task A (predicting psychological health from essays written at the age of 11 years) and task B (predicting later psychological health from essays written at the age of 11).