Microbiome-based disease prediction with multimodal variational information bottlenecks

Filippo Grazioli, Raman Siarheyeu, Israa Alqassem, Andreas Henschel, Giampaolo Pileggi, Andrea Meiser

Abstract: Author summary The gut microbiome can be an indicator of various diseases due to its interaction with the human system. Our main objective is to improve on the current state of the art in microbiome classification for diagnostic purposes. A rich body of literature evidences the clinical value of microbiome predictive models. Here, we propose the Multimodal Variational Information Bottleneck (MVIB), a novel deep learning model for microbiome-based disease prediction. MVIB learns a joint stochastic encoding of different input data modalities to predict the output class. We use MVIB to predict whether human hosts are affected by a certain disease by jointly analysing gut microbial species-relative abundance and strain-level marker profiles. Both of these gut microbial features showed diagnostic potential when tested separately in previous studies; however, no research has combined them in a single predictive tool. We evaluate MVIB on various human gut metagenomic samples from 11 publicly available disease cohorts. MVIB achieves competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods. Additionally, we evaluate our model by adding metabolomic data as a third input modality and we show that MVIB is scalable with respect to input feature modalities. Further, we adopt a saliency technique to interpret the output of MVIB and identify the most relevant microbial species and strain-level markers to our model predictions.