Undersmoothing Black-Box Models for Functional Estimation

Yue Yu, Debarghya Mukherjee, Moulinath Banerjee, Yaacov Ritov

Abstract: We study functional estimation using black-box models through a model-agnostic undersmoothing framework. The proposed procedure \texttt{Rep} operates by augmenting the original dataset through replicating a proportion of samples multiple times, and subsequently applying the black-box algorithm to the augmented dataset. This construction automatically induces undersmoothing and removes the need for manual hyperparameter tuning. We provide several empirical demonstrations (including neural network based learners) showing that compared to the plug-in estimator, the proposed algorithm \texttt{Rep} improves the estimation accuracy of functional estimation \textit{without} requiring explicit expressions for the associated influence functions. Furthermore, we develop a theoretical analysis in two representative settings, the Nadaraya–Watson estimator and the random feature model, establishing that replication provides explicit prescriptions for the replication proportion and number of copies, and yields optimal convergence rates for functional estimation. In the classical nonparametric regression setting, we extend \texttt{Rep} with a Lepski-style method that adapts to unknown structural features of the regression function.

Submission Number: 1004