Ads Sensitivity Modeling in Instagram Ads

Published: 21 Jun 2025, Last Modified: 19 Aug 2025IJCAI2025 workshop Causal Learning for Recommendation SystemsEveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY 4.0
Keywords: causal inference, causal learning, online advertisement, user sensitivity
TL;DR: How we made Ads Sensitivity Modeling work in Instagram Ads
Abstract: In the realm of social media advertising, a del- icate balance must be struck between ads value, and user engagement. To achieve an optimal equi- librium, sophisticated ad supply strategies are re- quired, which involve deciding the best time, place and density to show ads to individual users. Pre- dicting users’ sensitivity towards ads has been a critical component of the strategy. This paper presents a case study on how Instagram Ads harnesses the power of causal inference ma- chine learning, to learn each user’s sensitivity to- wards ads, which is then leveraged to enable ads supply personalization. This is an extremely chal- lenging task due to massive scales and subtlety of causal effects from supply changes. By leverag- ing data from RCTs and SOTA causal inference techniques, we demonstrated that our framework enables accurate estimation of user ads sensitivity over extended periods, through rigorous offline and online studies.
Submission Number: 5
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