A Distributionally Robust Optimization Approach for Unit Commitment in Microgrids

Ogun Yurdakul, Fikret Sivrikaya, Sahin Albayrak

Abstract: This paper proposes a distributionally robust unit commitment approach for microgrids under net load and electricity market price uncertainty. The key thrust of the proposed approach is to leverage the Kullback-Leibler divergence to construct an ambiguity set of probability distributions and formulate an optimization problem that minimizes the expected costs brought about by the worst-case distribution in the ambiguity set. The proposed approach effectively exploits historical data and capitalizes on the k-means clustering algorithm, in conjunction with the soft dynamic time warping score, to form the nominal probability distribution and its associated support. A two-level decomposition method is developed to enable the efficient solution of the devised problem. We carry out representative studies and quantify the relative merits of the proposed approach vis-\`a-vis a stochastic optimization-based model under different divergence tolerance values.