How to avoid World War III

Nachuan Li

Keywords: Global equity, Asteroid mining, AHP, FAM, Policies, Outer Space Treaty

TL;DR: We assess the reality of these policies, as well as the difficulties and limitations of implementing them. We also made comments on the update and refinement of the Space Treaty.

Abstract:

The resources beneath our feet have been unfairly taken away, and we cannot allow
it to perpetuate over our heads.
Asteroids are currently considered a potential source of resources that could ameliorate many of the woes facing the world. But in the distribution and utilization of resources, it will cause many disputes about global equity, and even lead to the third world
war. In order to study the impact of asteroid mining on global fairness and formulate corresponding improvement policies to prevent the outbreak of war, we have established
an indicator model for evaluating global equity, a predictive model for evaluating the
impact of asteroid mining on Earth, and a forecast for future resource allocation model.
We also used a number of data visualizations to make the results more intuitive.
Aiming at the poor living conditions and the uneven distribution of the earth’s resources that people in underdeveloped areas are enduring, we selected 7 raw data from
9 representative countries in the world, and used AHP to weight and merge to obtain a
global The data were standardized using the Z-score standardization method, and then
three main factors were obtained using the factor analysis method, and Global Equity
Indicator(GEI) was finally calculated to evaluate the current level of global equity.
We made predictions about the impact of asteroid mining on resources on Earth in the
future, and obtained the changes brought about by the development of asteroid mining
on oil prices and mineral prices. Combined with the status quo that only a few countries
have asteroid mining capabilities, combined with the fair model The depressing conclusion that global equity will worsen in the future if resources are not allocated.
In response to such a conclusion, we propose three feasible future resource allocation models — mining company (enterprise)-led, national government-led (dictatorship or oligarchy is not excluded), or international organization-led. We creatively use
the minority game in reinforcement learning to predict the future resource allocation,
combined with the global equity model, the final conclusion obtained is similar to our
expectation — relying on international organizations to maintain global equity.
Finally, we assess the reality of these policies, as well as the difficulties and limitations of implementing them. We also made comments on the update and refinement of
the Space Treaty. Our model system and method may have some value in the real-world
European acceptance of refugees and climate change.

Submission Number: 11