Independent-Set Design of Experiments for Estimating Treatment and Spillover Effects under Network Interference
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Keywords: Causal inference, Design of experiments, Interference, Random graph, Spillover effects, Treatment effects, Potential outcomes
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TL;DR: We propose a novel design of experiments for estimating treatment and spillover effects under network interference.
Abstract: Interference is ubiquitous when conducting causal experiments over networks. Except for certain network structures, causal inference on the network in the presence of interference is difficult due to the entanglement between the treatment assignments and the interference levels. In this article, we conduct causal inference under interference on an observed, sparse, but connected network, and we propose a novel design of experiments based on an independent set. Compared to conventional designs, the independent-set design focuses on an independent subset of data and controls their interference exposures through the assignments to the rest (auxiliary set). We provide a lower bound on the size of the independent set from a greedy algorithm and justify the theoretical performance of estimators under the proposed design. Our approach is capable of estimating both spillover effects and treatment effects. We justify its superiority over conventional methods and illustrate the empirical performance through simulations.
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Primary Area: causal reasoning
Submission Number: 8589
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