Neural Frailty Machine: Beyond proportional hazard assumption in neural survival regressionsDownload PDF

Published: 01 Feb 2023, Last Modified: 12 Mar 2024Submitted to ICLR 2023Readers: Everyone
Keywords: survival analysis, sieve method, theory
Abstract: We present neural frailty machine (NFM), a powerful and flexible neural modeling framework for survival regressions. The NFM framework utilizes the classical idea of multiplicative frailty in survival analysis to capture unobserved heterogeneity among individuals, at the same time being able to leverage the strong approximation power of neural architectures for handling nonlinear covariate dependence. Two concrete models are derived under the framework that extends neural proportional hazard models and nonparametric hazard regression models. Both models allow efficient training under the likelihood objective. Theoretically, for both proposed models, we establish statistical guarantees of neural function approximation with respect to nonparametric components via characterizing their rate of convergence. Empirically, we provide synthetic experiments that verify our theoretical statements. We also conduct experimental evaluations over 6 benchmark datasets of different scales, showing that the proposed NFM models outperform state-of-the-art survival models in terms of predictive performance.
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TL;DR: A flexible framework of neural survival regression with provable statistical guarantees
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