Finding Regions of Heterogeneity in Decision-Making via Expected Conditional CovarianceDownload PDF

21 May 2021, 20:50 (edited 26 Oct 2021)NeurIPS 2021 PosterReaders: Everyone
  • Keywords: heterogeneity, causal inference, decision making, criminal justice, healthcare
  • TL;DR: We present an algorithm for identifying regions of decisions with high inter-decision-maker disagreement.
  • Abstract: Individuals often make different decisions when faced with the same context, due to personal preferences and background. For instance, judges may vary in their leniency towards certain drug-related offenses, and doctors may vary in their preference for how to start treatment for certain types of patients. With these examples in mind, we present an algorithm for identifying types of contexts (e.g., types of cases or patients) with high inter-decision-maker disagreement. We formalize this as a causal inference problem, seeking a region where the assignment of decision-maker has a large causal effect on the decision. Our algorithm finds such a region by maximizing an empirical objective, and we give a generalization bound for its performance. In a semi-synthetic experiment, we show that our algorithm recovers the correct region of heterogeneity accurately compared to baselines. Finally, we apply our algorithm to real-world healthcare datasets, recovering variation that aligns with existing clinical knowledge.
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