Refining Covariance Matrix Estimation in Stochastic Gradient Descent Through Bias Reduction

Published: 03 Feb 2026, Last Modified: 02 May 2026AISTATS 2026 PosterEveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY 4.0
Abstract: We study online inference and asymptotic covariance estimation for the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm. While classical methods—such as plug-in and batch-means estimators—are available, they either require inaccessible second-order (Hessian) information or suffer from slow convergence. To address these challenges, we propose a novel, fully online de-biased covariance estimator that eliminates the need for second-order derivatives while significantly improving estimation accuracy. Our method employs a bias-reduction technique to achieve a convergence rate of $n^{(\alpha-1)/2}\sqrt{\log n}$, outperforming existing Hessian-free alternatives.
Code Dataset Promise: Yes
Code Dataset Url: https://github.com/interwesley/De-bias-covariance-estimator
Signed Copyright Form: pdf
Format Confirmation: I agree that I have read and followed the formatting instructions for the camera ready version.
Submission Number: 1526
Loading