Toward Interpretable Evaluation Measures for Time Series Segmentation

Félix Chavelli, Paul Boniol, Michaël Thomazo

Keywords: time series, state detection, change point detection, evaluation measure, interpretability

Abstract: Time series segmentation is a fundamental task in analyzing temporal data across various domains, from human activity recognition to energy monitoring. While numerous state-of-the-art methods have been developed to tackle this problem, the evaluation of their performance remains critically limited. Existing measures predominantly focus on change point accuracy or rely on point-based metrics such as Adjusted Rand Index (ARI), which fail to capture the quality of the detected segments, ignore the nature of errors, and offer limited interpretability. In this paper, we address these shortcomings by introducing two novel evaluation measures: WARI (Weighted Adjusted Rand Index), a temporal extension of ARI that accounts for the position of segmentation errors, and SMS (State Matching Score), a fine-grained metric that identifies and scores four distinct and fundamental types of segmentation errors while allowing error-specific weighting. We empirically validate WARI and SMS on synthetic and real-world benchmarks, showing that they not only provide a more accurate assessment of segmentation quality but also uncover insights, such as error provenance and type, that are inaccessible with traditional measures.

Primary Area: Applications (e.g., vision, language, speech and audio, Creative AI)

Submission Number: 9459