How much can language models memorize?

ICLR 2026 Conference Submission19938 Authors

19 Sept 2025 (modified: 08 Oct 2025)ICLR 2026 Conference SubmissionEveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY 4.0
Keywords: memorization, LLMs, pretraining, double descent
TL;DR: We estimate transformer capacity at 3.6 bits-per-parameter and show double descent occurs exactly when data size saturates model capacity
Abstract: We propose a new method for estimating how much a model knows about a datapoint and use it to measure the capacity of modern language models. Prior studies of language model memorization have struggled to disentangle memorization from generalization. We formally separate memorization into two components: unintended memorization, the information a model contains about a specific dataset, and generalization, the information a model contains about the true data-generation process. When we completely eliminate generalization, we can compute the total memorization, which provides an estimate of model capacity: our measurements estimate that GPT-style models have a capacity of approximately 3.6 bits per parameter. We train language models on datasets of increasing size and observe that models memorize until their capacity fills, at which point "grokking" begins, and unintended memorization decreases as models begin to generalize. We train hundreds of transformer language models ranging from 500K to 1.5B parameters and produce a series of scaling laws relating model capacity and data size to membership inference.
Supplementary Material: pdf
Primary Area: unsupervised, self-supervised, semi-supervised, and supervised representation learning
Submission Number: 19938
Loading