Adaptive Energy Amplification for Robust Time Series Forecasting

19 Sept 2025 (modified: 11 Feb 2026)Submitted to ICLR 2026EveryoneRevisionsBibTeXCC BY 4.0
Keywords: Time Series Forecasting; Frequency-Domain Learning; Adaptive Energy Amplification; Spectral Bias
Abstract: Deep learning models for time series forecasting often exhibit a spectral bias, prioritizing high-energy, low-frequency components while underfitting predictive but low-energy, high-frequency signals. Existing efforts attempt to correct this by amplifying high-frequency components but suffer from indiscriminate amplification, enhancing both meaningful signals and task-irrelevant noise, which destabilizes training and impairs generalization. To address this, we propose AEA (Adaptive Energy Amplification), a novel framework that reframes the problem as one of adaptive signal enhancement. AEA introduces two synergistic innovations: (1) a Spectral Mirroring mechanism that constructs a phase-preserving, low-frequency surrogate to guide targeted, distortion-free amplification of high-frequency signals; and (2) a lightweight Differential Embedding module that operates in a latent space to adaptively suppress common-mode noise. By decoupling signal amplification from noise suppression, AEA selectively enhances only informative features. Extensive experiments show that our model-agnostic framework consistently improves the forecasting performance of state-of-the-art backbones in both long-term and short-term forecasting tasks, while significantly enhancing training stability and generalization. The code repository is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/AEA-685E/.
Supplementary Material: zip
Primary Area: learning on time series and dynamical systems
Submission Number: 15734
Loading