Keywords: robustness, minimax, subset selection, causal model, g-equivalence
TL;DR: This paper proposes to identify the optimal subset of invariance to transfer, in order to achieve robustness in supervised regression scenario.
Abstract: A major barrier to deploy current machine learning models lies in their sensitivity to dataset shifts. To resolve this problem, most existing studies attempted to transfer stable information to unseen environments. Among these, graph-based methods causally decomposed the data generating process into stable and mutable mechanisms. By removing the effect of mutable generation, they identified a set of stable predictors. However, a key question regarding robustness remains: which subset of the whole stable information should the model transfer, in order to achieve optimal generalization ability? To answer this question, we provide a comprehensive minimax analysis that fully characterizes conditions for a subset to be optimal. Particularly in general cases, we propose to maximize over mutable mechanisms (i.e., the source of dataset shifts), which is provable to identify the worst-case risk over all environments. This ensures us to select the optimal subset with the minimal worst-case risk. To reduce computational costs, we propose to search over only equivalent classes in terms of worst-case risk, instead of over all subsets. In cases when the searching space is still large, we turn this subset selection problem into a sparse min-max optimization scheme, which enjoys the simplicity and efficiency of implementation. The utility of our methods is demonstrated on the diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease and gene function prediction.
Anonymous Url: I certify that there is no URL (e.g., github page) that could be used to find authors’ identity.
No Acknowledgement Section: I certify that there is no acknowledgement section in this submission for double blind review.
Code Of Ethics: I acknowledge that I and all co-authors of this work have read and commit to adhering to the ICLR Code of Ethics
Submission Guidelines: Yes
Please Choose The Closest Area That Your Submission Falls Into: Probabilistic Methods (eg, variational inference, causal inference, Gaussian processes)
Supplementary Material: zip
12 Replies
Loading