Keywords: generalization, gradients, alignment, influence, memorization
TL;DR: Predicting validation performance without validation data using gradient-weight alignment.
Abstract: Evaluating the performance of deep networks against unseen validation data is a crucial step to measure generalization performance.
However, ostensibly neither the training nor validation and test data are ever sufficiently extensive to replicate real-world application.
This works advocates for a change of perspective for evaluating performance of deep networks.
Instead of evaluating against unseen validation data, we propose to rather capture when the model starts to prioritize learning unnecessary or even detrimental specifics of training data instead of general patterns.
While this has been challenging to theoretically derive, we propose *gradient-weight alignment* as an empirical metric to determine performance on unseen data from training information alone.
Our performance measure is efficient and widely applicable, closely tracking validation accuracy during training.
It connects model performance to individual training samples, enabling its use not only for assessing generalization and as an early stopping criterion, but also for offering insights into training dynamics.
Primary Area: applications to computer vision, audio, language, and other modalities
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Submission Number: 12479
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